Mean estimates

Stock Information

Price (Prev Close): 226.34
Price - 52 Week High: 230.13
Price - 52 Week Low: 136.47
Price Date (Latest): 10/17/19
Median Price Target: 221.97
Diff from Prev Close: -4.37
% Difference: -1.93

Analyst Ratings

Mean Recommendation:

2.18

Sell

Strong Buy

Available Measures

Reference Information - Earnings Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 4.70
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: 15.11
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Earnings Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 6.77 7.05 6.45 6.80 15 3 -- 0.14
Annual 12/1/20 5.97 6.24 5.75 5.98 22 3 1 -0.23
Annual 12/1/19 5.34 5.40 5.25 5.34 22 2 1 -0.10
Quarterly 3/1/20 1.45 1.47 1.44 1.45 9 1 1 -0.61
Quarterly 6/1/20 1.52 1.59 1.47 1.51 9 -- 2 -0.87
Quarterly 9/1/19 1.22 1.25 1.18 1.22 21 1 1 -0.08
Quarterly 12/1/19 1.42 1.46 1.32 1.42 21 -- 1 -0.40
Long Term Growth 11.78 13.64 10.80 11.34 4 -- -- 0.00

Actuals - Earnings Per Share

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 4.70 4.70 0.11
Annual 12/1/17 3.80 3.77 0.91
Annual 12/1/16 2.89 2.86 0.97
Quarterly 6/1/19 1.38 1.33 3.83
Quarterly 3/1/19 1.32 1.22 7.82
Quarterly 12/1/18 1.17 1.17 -0.04
Quarterly 9/1/18 1.07 1.02 5.30

Reference Information - Book Value Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 15.02
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Book Value Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 29.36 42.03 16.51 27.18 5 1 -- 0.03
Annual 12/1/20 23.65 33.74 12.88 23.31 5 1 -- 0.03
Annual 12/1/19 19.26 26.54 9.89 20.73 5 1 -- 0.02
Quarterly 9/1/19 17.34 17.34 17.34 17.34 1 1 -- 0.06
Quarterly 12/1/19 18.11 18.11 18.11 18.11 1 1 -- 0.11

Actuals - Book Value Per Share

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 15.02 16.19 -7.21
Annual 12/1/17 14.15 13.05 8.43
Annual 12/1/16 12.26 12.74 -3.78
Quarterly 6/1/19 16.80 16.64 0.94
Quarterly 3/1/19 16.60 16.32 1.71
Quarterly 12/1/18 15.02 12.48 20.39
Quarterly 9/1/18 16.05 -- --

Reference Information - Cash Flow Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 4.34
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Cash Flow Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 7.30 7.48 7.15 7.26 3 1 -- 2.99
Annual 12/1/20 6.43 6.60 6.20 6.49 5 -- -- 1.85
Annual 12/1/19 5.73 8.03 4.35 5.42 5 1 -- 4.60
Quarterly 3/1/20 0.81 0.81 0.81 0.81 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 6/1/20 1.75 1.75 1.75 1.75 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 9/1/19 1.45 1.54 1.33 1.48 3 -- -- --
Quarterly 12/1/19 1.72 1.83 1.54 1.78 3 -- -- --

Actuals - Cash Flow Per Share

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 4.34 4.55 -4.52
Annual 12/1/17 4.63 3.79 22.16
Annual 12/1/16 3.23 2.97 8.90
Quarterly 6/1/19 1.61 1.55 3.65
Quarterly 3/1/19 0.01 1.12 -99.10
Quarterly 12/1/18 1.38 1.46 -5.15
Quarterly 9/1/18 1.61 1.60 0.63

Reference Information - Dividend Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): --
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Dividend Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 -- -- -- -- 3 -- -- 0.00
Annual 12/1/20 -- -- -- -- 5 -- -- 0.00
Annual 12/1/19 -- -- -- -- 5 -- -- 0.00
Quarterly 3/1/20 -- -- -- -- 1 -- -- 0.00
Quarterly 6/1/20 -- -- -- -- 1 -- -- 0.00
Quarterly 9/1/19 -- -- -- -- 2 -- -- 0.00
Quarterly 12/1/19 -- -- -- -- 2 -- -- 0.00

Actuals - Dividend Per Share

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 -- -- --
Annual 12/1/17 -- -- --
Annual 12/1/16 -- -- --
Quarterly 6/1/19 -- -- --
Quarterly 3/1/19 -- -- --
Quarterly 12/1/18 -- -- --

Reference Information - EBIT

Last Actual (FY0): 1,153.70
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - EBIT

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 1,645.33 1,825.34 1,551.70 1,664.70 15 3 -- 0.13
Annual 12/1/20 1,450.12 1,511.91 1,379.00 1,449.80 20 4 -- 0.02
Annual 12/1/19 1,281.55 1,311.34 1,251.00 1,281.57 21 3 -- 0.00
Quarterly 3/1/20 357.43 368.60 347.40 356.13 6 -- -- -0.17
Quarterly 6/1/20 371.64 381.20 367.40 370.85 6 -- -- -0.46
Quarterly 9/1/19 298.20 313.30 290.00 297.28 16 1 1 -0.12
Quarterly 12/1/19 347.11 365.70 330.80 347.15 16 2 -- -0.14

Actuals - EBIT

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 1,153.70 1,151.72 0.17
Annual 12/1/17 1,021.80 1,021.05 0.07
Annual 12/1/16 825.90 816.51 1.15
Quarterly 6/1/19 329.90 322.66 2.24
Quarterly 3/1/19 310.00 300.94 3.01
Quarterly 12/1/18 296.60 294.71 0.64
Quarterly 9/1/18 263.90 257.17 2.62

Reference Information - EBITDA

Last Actual (FY0): 1,231.10
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - EBITDA

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 1,747.14 1,864.29 1,551.70 1,755.12 9 2 -- 0.79
Annual 12/1/20 1,560.02 1,654.00 1,510.00 1,544.00 13 3 -- 0.67
Annual 12/1/19 1,380.92 1,442.00 1,355.70 1,372.00 13 3 -- 0.44
Quarterly 3/1/20 382.88 404.00 369.60 379.00 5 -- -- 1.52
Quarterly 6/1/20 400.42 426.00 391.00 394.00 5 -- -- 1.62
Quarterly 9/1/19 320.41 334.00 311.10 318.20 8 1 1 0.45
Quarterly 12/1/19 374.22 385.02 361.00 374.16 8 2 -- 0.73

Actuals - EBITDA

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 1,231.10 1,233.52 -0.20
Annual 12/1/17 1,103.00 1,099.37 0.33
Annual 12/1/16 889.60 898.98 -1.04
Quarterly 6/1/19 350.40 342.77 2.23
Quarterly 3/1/19 330.10 323.61 2.00
Quarterly 12/1/18 316.50 315.58 0.29
Quarterly 9/1/18 283.10 276.12 2.53

Reference Information - GAAP Earnings Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 3.38
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - GAAP Earnings Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 6.59 6.69 6.50 6.57 3 1 -- -1.10
Annual 12/1/20 5.74 6.00 5.32 5.84 8 -- -- -0.90
Annual 12/1/19 5.00 5.34 4.61 4.98 7 -- -- -0.43
Quarterly 3/1/20 1.41 1.48 1.24 1.45 6 -- -- -0.47
Quarterly 6/1/20 1.47 1.53 1.32 1.51 6 -- -- -0.79
Quarterly 9/1/19 1.24 1.31 1.18 1.24 6 -- 1 0.20
Quarterly 12/1/19 1.41 1.43 1.38 1.42 6 1 -- 0.33

Actuals - GAAP Earnings Per Share

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 3.38 4.55 -25.71
Annual 12/1/17 2.88 3.62 -20.52
Annual 12/1/16 2.61 2.69 -3.10
Quarterly 6/1/19 1.14 1.34 -14.69
Quarterly 3/1/19 1.18 1.23 -4.18
Quarterly 12/1/18 0.03 1.16 -97.41
Quarterly 9/1/18 1.06 1.02 4.43

Reference Information - Net Debt

Last Actual (FY0): -362.70
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Net Debt

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 -2,065.44 -1,414.00 -2,734.60 -2,129.16 6 -- 2 -0.53
Annual 12/1/20 -1,205.29 -543.00 -1,719.74 -1,104.00 7 -- 2 -0.59
Annual 12/1/19 -643.63 -263.00 -1,319.20 -620.96 7 -- 2 -0.95
Quarterly 9/1/19 -372.83 -368.66 -377.00 -372.83 2 -- 1 -0.19
Quarterly 12/1/19 -599.48 -578.00 -620.96 -599.48 2 -- 1 -0.21

Actuals - Net Debt

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 -362.70 -273.25 -32.74
Annual 12/1/17 -301.10 -330.41 8.87
Annual 12/1/16 -448.80 -708.79 36.68
Quarterly 6/1/19 -340.20 -310.62 -9.52
Quarterly 3/1/19 -369.10 -233.65 -57.97
Quarterly 12/1/18 -362.70 -196.48 -84.60
Quarterly 9/1/18 -402.20 -344.00 -16.92

Reference Information - Net Income

Last Actual (FY0): 1,004.34
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Net Income

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 1,420.57 1,475.18 1,352.10 1,416.90 14 3 -- 0.08
Annual 12/1/20 1,258.48 1,310.90 1,204.00 1,257.50 20 4 -- -0.02
Annual 12/1/19 1,132.13 1,146.90 1,119.00 1,131.00 21 3 -- 0.02
Quarterly 3/1/20 310.32 322.30 305.12 308.50 6 -- -- -0.53
Quarterly 6/1/20 322.66 326.40 315.43 323.70 6 -- -- -0.67
Quarterly 9/1/19 258.56 266.90 250.00 258.68 16 1 1 -0.10
Quarterly 12/1/19 301.02 310.10 290.70 302.55 16 2 -- -0.17

Actuals - Net Income

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 1,004.34 1,004.03 0.03
Annual 12/1/17 819.70 812.13 0.93
Annual 12/1/16 630.00 625.17 0.77
Quarterly 6/1/19 293.60 281.43 4.33
Quarterly 3/1/19 280.50 260.91 7.51
Quarterly 12/1/18 248.60 249.68 -0.43
Quarterly 9/1/18 228.10 216.56 5.33

Reference Information - Operating Profit

Last Actual (FY0): --
FY0 End Date:
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Operating Profit

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Annual 12/1/20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Annual 12/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 6/1/20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 3/1/20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 12/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 9/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --

Actuals - Operating Profit

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --

Reference Information - Return On Equity

Last Actual (FY0): 28.30
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Return On Equity

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 24.42 28.99 18.17 24.70 5 -- -- 0.20
Annual 12/1/20 27.00 31.53 20.20 26.50 7 -- -- 0.04
Annual 12/1/19 30.01 33.80 22.78 30.28 8 -- -- 0.05
Quarterly 9/1/19 29.90 29.90 29.90 29.90 1 -- -- 0.13
Quarterly 12/1/19 35.21 35.21 35.21 35.21 1 -- -- 0.23

Actuals - Return On Equity

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 28.30 30.05 -1.75
Annual 12/1/17 29.20 26.97 2.24
Annual 12/1/16 24.60 22.42 2.18
Quarterly 6/1/19 33.81 34.02 -0.21
Quarterly 3/1/19 34.06 31.61 2.45
Quarterly 12/1/18 30.59 30.62 -0.03

Reference Information - Sales

Last Actual (FY0): 3,813.30
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Sales

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 5,183.39 5,440.20 4,787.00 5,212.63 15 3 -- -0.38
Annual 12/1/20 4,682.76 4,831.00 4,501.40 4,669.00 23 3 2 -0.14
Annual 12/1/19 4,233.26 4,300.00 4,194.00 4,233.00 23 2 2 -0.06
Quarterly 3/1/20 1,113.98 1,142.60 1,077.20 1,112.64 9 -- 1 -0.17
Quarterly 6/1/20 1,180.73 1,207.90 1,146.60 1,182.70 9 -- 1 -0.42
Quarterly 9/1/19 1,037.11 1,060.00 1,019.69 1,038.00 21 3 1 0.13
Quarterly 12/1/19 1,116.72 1,160.00 1,080.00 1,115.00 21 2 2 -0.09

Actuals - Sales

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 3,813.30 3,805.98 0.19
Annual 12/1/17 3,435.30 3,392.48 1.26
Annual 12/1/16 2,963.70 2,955.07 0.29
Quarterly 6/1/19 1,086.90 1,044.65 4.04
Quarterly 3/1/19 993.00 990.38 0.26
Quarterly 12/1/18 982.70 976.00 0.69
Quarterly 9/1/18 921.00 928.18 -0.77

P/E Ratios

Fiscal Year FY0 FY1 FY2
Ratios 48.16 42.39 37.94

EPS Growth Rates

Fiscal YOY FY1/FY0 FY2/FY1 FY3/FY2
Growth Rate 13.72 11.75 13.39

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