Mean estimates

Stock Information

Price (Prev Close): 230.70
Price - 52 Week High: 247.59
Price - 52 Week Low: 139.66
Price Date (Latest): 12/13/19
Median Price Target: 250.58
Diff from Prev Close: 19.88
% Difference: 8.62

Analyst Ratings

Mean Recommendation:

2.19

Sell

Strong Buy

Available Measures

Reference Information - Earnings Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 4.70
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: 15.11
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Earnings Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 6.90 7.30 6.43 6.88 18 5 7 0.28
Annual 12/1/20 6.16 6.31 5.56 6.18 22 9 7 0.24
Annual 12/1/19 5.60 5.65 5.55 5.60 22 5 2 0.05
Quarterly 3/1/20 1.50 1.56 1.40 1.51 14 5 3 0.85
Quarterly 6/1/20 1.55 1.63 1.51 1.54 14 4 2 0.93
Quarterly 9/1/20 1.51 1.61 1.41 1.52 14 4 3 1.31
Quarterly 12/1/19 1.48 1.53 1.45 1.48 21 5 3 0.07
Long Term Growth 12.52 14.59 11.00 12.24 4 -- -- 0.00

Actuals - Earnings Per Share

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 4.70 4.70 0.11
Annual 12/1/17 3.80 3.77 0.91
Annual 12/1/16 2.89 2.86 0.97
Quarterly 9/1/19 1.41 1.22 15.66
Quarterly 6/1/19 1.38 1.33 3.83
Quarterly 3/1/19 1.32 1.22 7.82
Quarterly 12/1/18 1.17 1.17 -0.04

Reference Information - Book Value Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 15.02
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Book Value Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 28.92 41.83 17.99 26.56 5 1 3 -0.03
Annual 12/1/20 23.65 33.78 13.60 23.55 5 1 3 -0.45
Annual 12/1/19 19.32 26.66 10.16 20.05 5 1 2 0.00
Quarterly 12/1/19 18.71 18.71 18.71 18.71 1 -- -- --

Actuals - Book Value Per Share

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 15.02 16.19 -7.21
Annual 12/1/17 14.15 13.05 8.43
Annual 12/1/16 12.26 12.74 -3.78
Quarterly 9/1/19 18.34 17.34 5.78
Quarterly 6/1/19 16.80 16.64 0.94
Quarterly 3/1/19 16.60 16.32 1.71
Quarterly 12/1/18 15.02 12.48 20.39

Reference Information - Cash Flow Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 4.34
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Cash Flow Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 7.65 7.80 7.55 7.61 3 -- 2 -0.68
Annual 12/1/20 6.84 7.02 6.59 6.82 5 3 1 2.86
Annual 12/1/19 5.67 6.05 5.32 5.71 5 1 2 -9.05
Quarterly 3/1/20 1.43 1.43 1.43 1.43 1 1 -- 81.01
Quarterly 6/1/20 1.75 1.75 1.75 1.75 1 1 -- 0.57
Quarterly 9/1/20 1.64 1.64 1.64 1.64 1 -- 1 -2.96
Quarterly 12/1/19 1.73 1.82 1.62 1.76 3 -- 2 -2.11

Actuals - Cash Flow Per Share

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 4.34 4.55 -4.52
Annual 12/1/17 4.63 3.79 22.16
Annual 12/1/16 3.23 2.97 8.90
Quarterly 9/1/19 2.06 1.45 42.23
Quarterly 6/1/19 1.61 1.55 3.65
Quarterly 3/1/19 0.01 1.12 -99.10
Quarterly 12/1/18 1.38 1.46 -5.15

Reference Information - Dividend Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): --
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Dividend Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 -- -- -- -- 3 -- -- 0.00
Annual 12/1/20 -- -- -- -- 5 -- -- 0.00
Annual 12/1/19 -- -- -- -- 5 -- -- 0.00
Quarterly 3/1/20 -- -- -- -- 1 -- -- 0.00
Quarterly 6/1/20 -- -- -- -- 1 -- -- 0.00
Quarterly 9/1/20 -- -- -- -- 1 -- -- 0.00
Quarterly 12/1/19 -- -- -- -- 2 -- -- 0.00

Actuals - Dividend Per Share

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 -- -- --
Annual 12/1/17 -- -- --
Annual 12/1/16 -- -- --
Quarterly 9/1/19 -- -- --
Quarterly 6/1/19 -- -- --
Quarterly 3/1/19 -- -- --
Quarterly 12/1/18 -- -- --

Reference Information - EBIT

Last Actual (FY0): 1,153.70
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - EBIT

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 1,663.87 1,727.20 1,563.00 1,664.65 16 4 9 -0.04
Annual 12/1/20 1,475.02 1,512.15 1,336.00 1,481.00 21 7 10 -0.12
Annual 12/1/19 1,317.23 1,339.70 1,227.00 1,325.10 21 8 5 0.00
Quarterly 3/1/20 361.00 374.21 352.60 359.75 8 3 1 0.73
Quarterly 6/1/20 372.35 379.90 364.50 372.40 8 2 2 0.19
Quarterly 9/1/20 360.13 372.40 333.30 365.95 8 3 1 1.71
Quarterly 12/1/19 357.08 371.60 338.00 358.82 15 5 4 -0.04

Actuals - EBIT

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 1,153.70 1,151.72 0.17
Annual 12/1/17 1,021.80 1,021.05 0.07
Annual 12/1/16 825.90 816.51 1.15
Quarterly 9/1/19 328.10 298.29 9.99
Quarterly 6/1/19 329.90 322.66 2.24
Quarterly 3/1/19 310.00 300.94 3.01
Quarterly 12/1/18 296.60 294.71 0.64

Reference Information - EBITDA

Last Actual (FY0): 1,231.10
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - EBITDA

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 1,754.59 1,836.11 1,656.30 1,771.57 9 2 5 -0.46
Annual 12/1/20 1,577.81 1,644.29 1,456.00 1,587.20 13 4 5 0.10
Annual 12/1/19 1,407.01 1,469.00 1,335.00 1,413.00 13 5 3 0.15
Quarterly 3/1/20 387.04 404.20 377.00 379.00 5 2 1 0.89
Quarterly 6/1/20 403.38 413.00 394.00 405.60 5 2 1 0.20
Quarterly 9/1/20 378.36 406.00 356.00 379.29 5 2 1 0.63
Quarterly 12/1/19 380.59 394.00 361.00 386.00 9 3 3 0.47

Actuals - EBITDA

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 1,231.10 1,233.52 -0.20
Annual 12/1/17 1,103.00 1,099.37 0.33
Annual 12/1/16 889.60 898.98 -1.04
Quarterly 9/1/19 349.90 321.39 8.87
Quarterly 6/1/19 350.40 342.77 2.23
Quarterly 3/1/19 330.10 323.61 2.00
Quarterly 12/1/18 316.50 315.58 0.29

Reference Information - GAAP Earnings Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 3.38
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - GAAP Earnings Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 6.75 6.87 6.61 6.75 4 -- 2 -0.32
Annual 12/1/20 5.78 6.17 5.16 5.85 6 2 2 0.46
Annual 12/1/19 5.01 5.60 4.55 5.02 5 1 1 3.82
Quarterly 3/1/20 1.48 1.53 1.45 1.47 4 1 -- 1.72
Quarterly 6/1/20 1.53 1.53 1.51 1.53 4 1 -- 0.83
Quarterly 9/1/20 1.39 1.41 1.36 1.40 4 -- 1 -0.54
Quarterly 12/1/19 1.43 1.50 1.38 1.41 4 -- 1 -0.18

Actuals - GAAP Earnings Per Share

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 3.38 4.53 -25.39
Annual 12/1/17 2.88 3.62 -20.52
Annual 12/1/16 2.61 2.69 -3.10
Quarterly 9/1/19 1.30 1.24 5.18
Quarterly 6/1/19 1.14 1.34 -14.69
Quarterly 3/1/19 1.18 1.23 -4.18
Quarterly 12/1/18 0.03 1.16 -97.41

Reference Information - Net Debt

Last Actual (FY0): -362.70
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Net Debt

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 -2,336.86 -1,319.96 -3,790.00 -2,258.54 6 3 2 -10.58
Annual 12/1/20 -1,451.81 -826.95 -2,293.00 -1,517.20 7 2 4 -7.71
Annual 12/1/19 -772.00 -430.00 -1,325.22 -651.78 7 3 3 -4.83
Quarterly 12/1/19 -800.39 -651.78 -949.00 -800.39 2 -- 2 -27.69

Actuals - Net Debt

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 -362.70 -273.25 -32.74
Annual 12/1/17 -301.10 -330.41 8.87
Annual 12/1/16 -448.80 -708.79 36.68
Quarterly 9/1/19 -762.70 -372.83 -104.57
Quarterly 6/1/19 -340.20 -310.62 -9.52
Quarterly 3/1/19 -369.10 -233.65 -57.97
Quarterly 12/1/18 -362.70 -196.48 -84.60

Reference Information - Net Income

Last Actual (FY0): 1,004.34
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Net Income

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 1,458.31 1,537.20 1,352.10 1,459.60 15 6 6 0.58
Annual 12/1/20 1,298.66 1,340.20 1,168.00 1,313.16 21 10 7 0.39
Annual 12/1/19 1,181.09 1,198.50 1,119.00 1,186.20 21 10 4 0.31
Quarterly 3/1/20 319.64 326.50 307.90 321.45 8 4 -- 2.39
Quarterly 6/1/20 328.66 345.00 320.60 326.02 8 4 -- 1.53
Quarterly 9/1/20 318.18 342.40 288.30 322.10 8 3 1 3.07
Quarterly 12/1/19 311.50 325.10 292.70 312.90 15 5 3 0.14

Actuals - Net Income

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 1,004.34 1,004.03 0.03
Annual 12/1/17 819.70 812.13 0.93
Annual 12/1/16 630.00 625.17 0.77
Quarterly 9/1/19 299.20 258.78 15.62
Quarterly 6/1/19 293.60 281.43 4.33
Quarterly 3/1/19 280.50 260.91 7.51
Quarterly 12/1/18 248.60 249.68 -0.43

Reference Information - Operating Profit

Last Actual (FY0): --
FY0 End Date:
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Operating Profit

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Annual 12/1/20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Annual 12/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 9/1/20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 6/1/20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 3/1/20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 12/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --

Actuals - Operating Profit

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --

Reference Information - Return On Equity

Last Actual (FY0): 28.30
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Return On Equity

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 25.17 31.69 18.71 24.10 5 -- -- -0.26
Annual 12/1/20 27.64 33.30 20.50 27.20 7 -- -- 0.23
Annual 12/1/19 31.00 35.30 23.82 32.29 8 -- -- -0.30
Quarterly 12/1/19 35.96 35.96 35.96 35.96 1 -- -- 0.03

Actuals - Return On Equity

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 28.30 30.05 -1.75
Annual 12/1/17 29.20 26.97 2.24
Annual 12/1/16 24.60 22.42 2.18
Quarterly 9/1/19 32.72 29.90 2.82
Quarterly 6/1/19 33.81 34.02 -0.21
Quarterly 3/1/19 34.06 31.61 2.45
Quarterly 12/1/18 30.59 30.62 -0.03

Reference Information - Sales

Last Actual (FY0): 3,813.30
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Sales

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 5,236.09 5,372.87 4,909.00 5,240.95 18 6 8 -0.06
Annual 12/1/20 4,780.16 4,846.81 4,687.00 4,783.65 22 10 9 0.06
Annual 12/1/19 4,312.95 4,346.20 4,232.00 4,318.28 22 5 10 0.11
Quarterly 3/1/20 1,142.20 1,169.20 1,109.00 1,142.20 11 5 1 0.31
Quarterly 6/1/20 1,202.85 1,226.70 1,180.00 1,200.70 11 3 3 -0.14
Quarterly 9/1/20 1,183.42 1,206.00 1,137.50 1,184.50 11 4 2 1.13
Quarterly 12/1/19 1,142.55 1,172.20 1,094.20 1,147.00 19 4 8 0.03

Actuals - Sales

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 3,813.30 3,805.98 0.19
Annual 12/1/17 3,435.30 3,392.48 1.26
Annual 12/1/16 2,963.70 2,955.07 0.29
Quarterly 9/1/19 1,094.00 1,038.01 5.39
Quarterly 6/1/19 1,086.90 1,044.65 4.04
Quarterly 3/1/19 993.00 990.38 0.26
Quarterly 12/1/18 982.70 976.00 0.69

P/E Ratios

Fiscal Year FY0 FY1 FY2
Ratios 49.09 41.21 37.44

EPS Growth Rates

Fiscal YOY FY1/FY0 FY2/FY1 FY3/FY2
Growth Rate 19.24 10.06 11.91

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