Mean estimates

Stock Information

Price (Prev Close): 222.50
Price - 52 Week High: 220.43
Price - 52 Week Low: 136.47
Price Date (Latest): 8/19/19
Median Price Target: 213.45
Diff from Prev Close: -9.05
% Difference: -4.07

Analyst Ratings

Mean Recommendation:

2.18

Sell

Strong Buy

Available Measures

Reference Information - Earnings Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 4.70
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: 15.11
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Earnings Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 6.76 7.05 6.40 6.82 16 13 1 2.07
Annual 12/1/20 5.98 6.24 5.76 5.99 22 18 2 2.02
Annual 12/1/19 5.34 5.40 5.28 5.34 22 20 1 0.95
Quarterly 3/1/20 1.46 1.52 1.44 1.45 9 5 1 2.74
Quarterly 6/1/20 1.53 1.59 1.50 1.53 9 6 -- 2.79
Quarterly 9/1/19 1.22 1.26 1.18 1.22 21 1 17 -2.72
Quarterly 12/1/19 1.42 1.48 1.38 1.42 21 17 2 1.98
Long Term Growth 11.78 13.64 10.80 11.34 4 -- -- 0.00

Actuals - Earnings Per Share

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 4.70 4.70 0.11
Annual 12/1/17 3.80 3.77 0.91
Annual 12/1/16 2.89 2.86 0.97
Quarterly 6/1/19 1.38 1.33 3.83
Quarterly 3/1/19 1.32 1.22 7.82
Quarterly 12/1/18 1.17 1.17 -0.04
Quarterly 9/1/18 1.07 1.02 5.30

Reference Information - Book Value Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 15.02
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Book Value Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 29.35 42.03 16.51 27.13 5 3 -- -7.16
Annual 12/1/20 23.65 33.74 12.88 23.31 5 3 1 0.68
Annual 12/1/19 19.25 26.54 9.89 20.73 5 2 3 -0.61
Quarterly 9/1/19 17.33 17.33 17.33 17.33 1 -- 1 -5.51
Quarterly 12/1/19 18.09 18.09 18.09 18.09 1 -- 1 -2.43

Actuals - Book Value Per Share

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 15.02 16.19 -7.21
Annual 12/1/17 14.15 13.05 8.43
Annual 12/1/16 12.26 12.74 -3.78
Quarterly 6/1/19 16.80 16.64 0.94
Quarterly 3/1/19 16.60 16.32 1.71
Quarterly 12/1/18 15.02 12.48 20.39
Quarterly 9/1/18 16.05 -- --

Reference Information - Cash Flow Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 4.34
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Cash Flow Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 7.09 7.45 6.48 7.21 4 3 -- 3.73
Annual 12/1/20 6.32 6.60 5.73 6.42 6 4 2 1.50
Annual 12/1/19 5.48 8.03 4.23 5.25 6 3 2 -0.14
Quarterly 3/1/20 0.81 0.81 0.81 0.81 1 -- 1 -1.22
Quarterly 6/1/20 1.75 1.75 1.75 1.75 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 9/1/19 1.45 1.54 1.33 1.48 3 1 2 -1.63
Quarterly 12/1/19 1.72 1.83 1.54 1.78 3 3 -- 2.39

Actuals - Cash Flow Per Share

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 4.34 4.55 -4.52
Annual 12/1/17 4.63 3.79 22.16
Annual 12/1/16 3.23 2.97 8.90
Quarterly 6/1/19 1.61 1.55 3.65
Quarterly 3/1/19 0.01 1.12 -99.10
Quarterly 12/1/18 1.38 1.46 -5.15
Quarterly 9/1/18 1.61 1.60 0.63

Reference Information - Dividend Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): --
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Dividend Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 -- -- -- -- 3 -- -- 0.00
Annual 12/1/20 -- -- -- -- 5 -- -- 0.00
Annual 12/1/19 -- -- -- -- 5 -- -- 0.00
Quarterly 3/1/20 -- -- -- -- 1 -- -- 0.00
Quarterly 6/1/20 -- -- -- -- 1 -- -- 0.00
Quarterly 9/1/19 -- -- -- -- 2 -- -- 0.00
Quarterly 12/1/19 -- -- -- -- 2 -- -- 0.00

Actuals - Dividend Per Share

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 -- -- --
Annual 12/1/17 -- -- --
Annual 12/1/16 -- -- --
Quarterly 6/1/19 -- -- --
Quarterly 3/1/19 -- -- --
Quarterly 12/1/18 -- -- --

Reference Information - EBIT

Last Actual (FY0): 1,153.70
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - EBIT

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 1,643.26 1,825.34 1,551.00 1,651.90 15 12 2 1.84
Annual 12/1/20 1,449.83 1,511.91 1,380.00 1,448.50 20 14 5 1.17
Annual 12/1/19 1,281.59 1,309.75 1,251.00 1,281.57 21 16 3 0.55
Quarterly 3/1/20 358.03 368.60 347.40 356.25 5 2 2 1.26
Quarterly 6/1/20 373.37 389.00 367.40 370.90 5 4 -- 2.34
Quarterly 9/1/19 298.57 313.30 290.00 297.28 16 2 12 -2.04
Quarterly 12/1/19 347.60 365.70 330.80 347.50 16 12 2 2.32

Actuals - EBIT

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 1,153.70 1,151.72 0.17
Annual 12/1/17 1,021.80 1,021.05 0.07
Annual 12/1/16 825.90 816.51 1.15
Quarterly 6/1/19 329.90 322.66 2.24
Quarterly 3/1/19 310.00 300.94 3.01
Quarterly 12/1/18 296.60 294.71 0.64
Quarterly 9/1/18 263.90 257.17 2.62

Reference Information - EBITDA

Last Actual (FY0): 1,231.10
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - EBITDA

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 1,733.46 1,864.29 1,551.70 1,755.12 9 7 -- 1.90
Annual 12/1/20 1,549.71 1,641.01 1,511.00 1,538.50 12 8 2 0.96
Annual 12/1/19 1,374.82 1,403.01 1,341.00 1,372.00 13 9 2 0.72
Quarterly 3/1/20 377.13 385.38 369.60 376.40 3 -- 2 -0.70
Quarterly 6/1/20 394.04 398.52 391.00 392.60 3 1 1 0.79
Quarterly 9/1/19 318.97 331.30 311.10 317.00 7 1 5 -1.67
Quarterly 12/1/19 371.50 383.80 352.00 372.47 7 5 1 2.19

Actuals - EBITDA

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 1,231.10 1,233.52 -0.20
Annual 12/1/17 1,103.00 1,099.37 0.33
Annual 12/1/16 889.60 898.98 -1.04
Quarterly 6/1/19 350.40 342.77 2.23
Quarterly 3/1/19 330.10 323.61 2.00
Quarterly 12/1/18 316.50 315.58 0.29
Quarterly 9/1/18 283.10 276.12 2.53

Reference Information - GAAP Earnings Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 3.38
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - GAAP Earnings Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 6.66 6.90 6.48 6.63 4 1 2 -0.75
Annual 12/1/20 5.80 6.14 5.32 5.88 10 3 2 -1.00
Annual 12/1/19 5.02 5.34 4.61 5.00 9 2 5 -1.86
Quarterly 3/1/20 1.42 1.49 1.24 1.45 6 2 -- 1.00
Quarterly 6/1/20 1.49 1.58 1.32 1.52 6 2 -- 2.59
Quarterly 9/1/19 1.24 1.31 1.21 1.23 8 -- 2 -1.20
Quarterly 12/1/19 1.41 1.48 1.33 1.42 8 4 -- 1.26

Actuals - GAAP Earnings Per Share

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 3.38 4.55 -25.71
Annual 12/1/17 2.88 3.62 -20.52
Annual 12/1/16 2.61 2.69 -3.10
Quarterly 6/1/19 1.14 1.34 -14.69
Quarterly 3/1/19 1.18 1.23 -4.18
Quarterly 12/1/18 0.03 1.16 -97.41
Quarterly 9/1/18 1.06 1.02 4.43

Reference Information - Net Debt

Last Actual (FY0): -362.70
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Net Debt

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 -2,054.61 -1,414.00 -2,734.60 -2,126.16 6 3 3 -12.18
Annual 12/1/20 -1,198.27 -543.00 -1,719.74 -1,104.00 7 3 4 -8.98
Annual 12/1/19 -637.56 -263.00 -1,319.20 -618.50 7 4 3 0.63
Quarterly 9/1/19 -372.12 -367.24 -377.00 -372.12 2 2 -- 21.20
Quarterly 12/1/19 -598.25 -578.00 -618.50 -598.25 2 2 -- 11.70

Actuals - Net Debt

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 -362.70 -273.25 -32.74
Annual 12/1/17 -301.10 -330.41 8.87
Annual 12/1/16 -448.80 -708.79 36.68
Quarterly 6/1/19 -340.20 -310.62 -9.52
Quarterly 3/1/19 -369.10 -233.65 -57.97
Quarterly 12/1/18 -362.70 -196.48 -84.60
Quarterly 9/1/18 -402.20 -344.00 -16.92

Reference Information - Net Income

Last Actual (FY0): 1,004.34
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Net Income

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 1,419.45 1,475.18 1,352.10 1,419.95 14 11 1 2.14
Annual 12/1/20 1,258.82 1,310.90 1,205.00 1,256.08 20 16 3 1.22
Annual 12/1/19 1,131.85 1,146.90 1,109.50 1,130.70 21 19 -- 0.93
Quarterly 3/1/20 311.98 322.30 305.12 311.90 5 3 1 2.23
Quarterly 6/1/20 324.85 335.00 315.43 324.40 5 3 -- 3.17
Quarterly 9/1/19 258.83 266.90 250.00 258.68 16 1 12 -2.65
Quarterly 12/1/19 301.53 313.00 289.40 303.00 16 12 1 2.06

Actuals - Net Income

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 1,004.34 1,004.03 0.03
Annual 12/1/17 819.70 812.13 0.93
Annual 12/1/16 630.00 625.17 0.77
Quarterly 6/1/19 293.60 281.43 4.33
Quarterly 3/1/19 280.50 260.91 7.51
Quarterly 12/1/18 248.60 249.68 -0.43
Quarterly 9/1/18 228.10 216.56 5.33

Reference Information - Operating Profit

Last Actual (FY0): --
FY0 End Date:
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Operating Profit

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Annual 12/1/20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Annual 12/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 6/1/20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 3/1/20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 12/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 9/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --

Actuals - Operating Profit

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --

Reference Information - Return On Equity

Last Actual (FY0): 28.30
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Return On Equity

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 24.38 28.95 18.17 24.50 5 -- -- -4.76
Annual 12/1/20 26.99 31.56 20.20 26.40 7 -- -- -0.58
Annual 12/1/19 30.00 33.80 22.78 30.28 8 -- -- 0.15
Quarterly 9/1/19 29.86 29.86 29.86 29.86 1 -- -- -0.83
Quarterly 12/1/19 35.13 35.13 35.13 35.13 1 -- -- 3.23

Actuals - Return On Equity

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 28.30 30.05 -1.75
Annual 12/1/17 29.20 26.97 2.24
Annual 12/1/16 24.60 22.42 2.18
Quarterly 6/1/19 33.81 34.02 -0.21
Quarterly 3/1/19 34.06 31.61 2.45
Quarterly 12/1/18 30.59 30.62 -0.03

Reference Information - Sales

Last Actual (FY0): 3,813.30
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Sales

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 5,202.92 5,601.00 4,787.00 5,216.32 16 14 -- 2.81
Annual 12/1/20 4,689.32 4,831.00 4,501.40 4,680.83 23 21 -- 2.20
Annual 12/1/19 4,235.89 4,314.50 4,194.00 4,232.22 23 22 -- 1.86
Quarterly 3/1/20 1,115.90 1,187.10 1,077.20 1,112.64 7 4 1 1.71
Quarterly 6/1/20 1,185.77 1,223.20 1,146.60 1,190.00 7 5 -- 3.80
Quarterly 9/1/19 1,035.78 1,062.20 1,009.30 1,036.62 21 18 -- 1.65
Quarterly 12/1/19 1,117.72 1,172.50 1,074.40 1,115.00 21 15 3 1.28

Actuals - Sales

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 3,813.30 3,805.98 0.19
Annual 12/1/17 3,435.30 3,392.48 1.26
Annual 12/1/16 2,963.70 2,955.07 0.29
Quarterly 6/1/19 1,086.90 1,044.65 4.04
Quarterly 3/1/19 993.00 990.38 0.26
Quarterly 12/1/18 982.70 976.00 0.69
Quarterly 9/1/18 921.00 928.18 -0.77

P/E Ratios

Fiscal Year FY0 FY1 FY2
Ratios 47.34 41.63 37.21

EPS Growth Rates

Fiscal YOY FY1/FY0 FY2/FY1 FY3/FY2
Growth Rate 13.83 11.90 12.97

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