Mean estimates

Stock Information

Price (Prev Close): 188.99
Price - 52 Week High: 197.30
Price - 52 Week Low: 123.00
Price Date (Latest): 3/22/19
Median Price Target: 187.29
Diff from Prev Close: -1.70
% Difference: -0.90

Analyst Ratings

Mean Recommendation:

2.28

Sell

Strong Buy

Available Measures

Reference Information - Earnings Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 4.70
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: 25.94
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: 8.14
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Earnings Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 6.65 7.65 6.07 6.64 14 3 -- 1.00
Annual 12/1/20 5.85 6.40 4.61 5.85 25 5 1 0.17
Annual 12/1/19 5.21 5.32 4.74 5.22 25 2 2 --
Quarterly 3/1/19 1.23 1.31 1.16 1.22 22 3 1 -0.22
Quarterly 6/1/19 1.33 1.42 1.22 1.32 22 3 -- -0.30
Quarterly 9/1/19 1.25 1.30 1.16 1.26 22 4 -- -0.20
Quarterly 12/1/19 1.41 1.49 1.20 1.41 22 2 2 -0.65
Long Term Growth 11.91 15.82 8.90 11.00 3 -- 2 -8.40

Actuals - Earnings Per Share

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 4.70 4.70 0.11
Annual 12/1/17 3.80 3.77 0.91
Annual 12/1/16 2.89 2.86 0.97
Quarterly 12/1/18 1.17 1.17 -0.04
Quarterly 9/1/18 1.07 1.02 5.30
Quarterly 6/1/18 1.24 1.14 9.13
Quarterly 3/1/18 1.22 1.11 9.48

Reference Information - Book Value Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 15.02
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Book Value Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 27.03 28.42 25.64 27.03 2 1 -- 3.14
Annual 12/1/20 24.04 34.00 12.93 22.85 5 2 -- 0.96
Annual 12/1/19 20.02 26.56 10.43 20.49 5 2 -- 0.56
Quarterly 3/1/19 16.32 16.32 16.32 16.32 1 1 -- --
Quarterly 6/1/19 18.25 18.25 18.25 18.25 1 1 -- 2.03
Quarterly 9/1/19 19.94 19.94 19.94 19.94 1 1 -- 2.16
Quarterly 12/1/19 15.12 20.13 10.11 15.12 2 1 -- 1.69

Actuals - Book Value Per Share

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 15.02 -- --
Annual 12/1/17 14.15 -- --
Annual 12/1/16 12.26 -- --
Quarterly 12/1/18 15.02 -- --

Reference Information - Cash Flow Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 4.34
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Cash Flow Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 6.74 7.22 6.26 6.74 2 1 -- 1.11
Annual 12/1/20 6.12 6.45 5.50 6.24 6 2 1 -0.52
Annual 12/1/19 5.16 5.69 3.51 5.42 6 3 -- 1.26
Quarterly 3/1/19 1.12 1.52 0.47 1.36 3 2 -- 8.96
Quarterly 6/1/19 1.53 1.61 1.43 1.56 3 1 -- 0.22
Quarterly 9/1/19 1.48 1.55 1.39 1.50 3 2 -- 0.45
Quarterly 12/1/19 1.69 1.82 1.53 1.72 3 2 -- --

Actuals - Cash Flow Per Share

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 4.34 4.55 -4.52
Annual 12/1/17 4.63 3.79 22.16
Annual 12/1/16 3.23 2.97 8.90
Quarterly 12/1/18 1.38 1.46 -5.15
Quarterly 9/1/18 1.61 1.60 0.63
Quarterly 6/1/18 0.66 1.55 -57.42
Quarterly 3/1/18 0.70 -0.07 1,104.29

Reference Information - Dividend Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): --
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Dividend Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 -- -- -- -- 3 -- -- --
Annual 12/1/20 -- -- -- -- 6 -- -- --
Annual 12/1/19 -- -- -- -- 6 -- -- --
Quarterly 3/1/19 -- -- -- -- 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 6/1/19 -- -- -- -- 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 9/1/19 -- -- -- -- 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 12/1/19 -- -- -- -- 1 -- -- --

Actuals - Dividend Per Share

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 -- -- --
Annual 12/1/17 -- -- --
Annual 12/1/16 -- -- --
Quarterly 12/1/18 -- -- --
Quarterly 6/1/18 -- -- --
Quarterly 3/1/18 -- -- --

Reference Information - EBIT

Last Actual (FY0): 1,153.70
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - EBIT

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 1,623.61 1,817.01 1,442.00 1,598.90 14 3 1 1.05
Annual 12/1/20 1,433.77 1,565.60 1,348.00 1,429.10 22 5 1 0.21
Annual 12/1/19 1,270.29 1,308.00 1,248.00 1,269.50 22 2 3 0.05
Quarterly 3/1/19 300.87 327.00 287.20 298.15 16 -- 8 0.01
Quarterly 6/1/19 324.35 348.00 314.80 321.20 16 4 4 0.13
Quarterly 9/1/19 303.65 310.00 290.00 304.35 16 7 1 0.19
Quarterly 12/1/19 341.20 357.00 321.00 342.72 16 5 1 0.02

Actuals - EBIT

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 1,153.70 -- --
Annual 12/1/17 1,021.80 -- --
Annual 12/1/16 825.90 -- --
Quarterly 12/1/18 296.60 -- --
Quarterly 9/1/18 263.90 -- --
Quarterly 6/1/18 293.80 -- --
Quarterly 3/1/18 299.40 -- --

Reference Information - EBITDA

Last Actual (FY0): 1,231.10
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - EBITDA

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 1,749.21 1,943.67 1,596.00 1,721.00 7 3 1 1.99
Annual 12/1/20 1,532.89 1,632.83 1,479.00 1,523.00 13 4 1 0.42
Annual 12/1/19 1,366.74 1,414.16 1,330.27 1,366.85 14 1 5 -0.04
Quarterly 3/1/19 323.37 342.30 309.40 323.00 7 1 1 -0.04
Quarterly 6/1/19 338.70 346.01 330.17 339.00 7 1 1 0.00
Quarterly 9/1/19 325.82 331.46 316.45 327.71 7 1 1 0.00
Quarterly 12/1/19 366.68 372.80 356.60 367.00 7 1 1 -0.09

Actuals - EBITDA

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 1,231.10 -- --
Annual 12/1/17 1,103.00 -- --
Annual 12/1/16 889.60 -- --
Quarterly 12/1/18 316.50 -- --
Quarterly 9/1/18 283.10 -- --
Quarterly 6/1/18 313.00 -- --
Quarterly 3/1/18 318.50 -- --

Reference Information - GAAP Earnings Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 3.38
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - GAAP Earnings Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 6.66 6.68 6.61 6.68 3 1 -- 1.20
Annual 12/1/20 5.79 6.39 5.10 5.86 10 1 -- -0.62
Annual 12/1/19 5.14 5.31 4.75 5.19 10 2 -- 0.39
Quarterly 3/1/19 1.22 1.25 1.19 1.22 6 -- 1 --
Quarterly 6/1/19 1.32 1.41 1.28 1.31 6 -- -- 0.25
Quarterly 9/1/19 1.27 1.29 1.24 1.26 6 1 -- 0.26
Quarterly 12/1/19 1.42 1.45 1.40 1.42 6 1 -- 0.12

Actuals - GAAP Earnings Per Share

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 3.38 -- --
Annual 12/1/17 2.88 -- --
Annual 12/1/16 2.61 -- --
Quarterly 12/1/18 0.03 -- --
Quarterly 9/1/18 1.06 -- --
Quarterly 6/1/18 1.32 -- --
Quarterly 3/1/18 0.96 -- --

Reference Information - Net Debt

Last Actual (FY0): -362.70
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Net Debt

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 -1,621.28 -1,050.00 -2,533.18 -1,538.00 6 2 2 -18.21
Annual 12/1/20 -1,108.60 -503.00 -1,577.82 -1,113.95 8 3 2 -15.69
Annual 12/1/19 -725.69 -346.00 -1,425.97 -660.02 8 3 2 -14.36
Quarterly 3/1/19 -233.65 -102.00 -365.29 -233.65 2 1 1 -118.98
Quarterly 6/1/19 -430.79 -245.00 -616.58 -430.79 2 1 1 -77.70
Quarterly 9/1/19 -592.62 -345.00 -840.24 -592.62 2 1 1 -68.08
Quarterly 12/1/19 -626.47 -258.00 -1,011.87 -618.00 4 1 1 -28.26

Actuals - Net Debt

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 -362.70 -273.25 -32.74
Annual 12/1/17 -301.10 -330.41 8.87
Annual 12/1/16 -448.80 -703.55 36.21
Quarterly 12/1/18 -362.70 -196.48 -84.60
Quarterly 9/1/18 -402.20 -344.00 -16.92
Quarterly 6/1/18 -207.70 -344.00 39.62

Reference Information - Net Income

Last Actual (FY0): 1,004.34
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Net Income

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 1,395.78 1,579.71 1,278.00 1,383.85 12 3 1 1.23
Annual 12/1/20 1,241.55 1,352.60 1,165.00 1,235.55 22 6 1 0.13
Annual 12/1/19 1,106.08 1,130.00 1,085.00 1,103.54 22 5 3 0.02
Quarterly 3/1/19 260.80 278.00 253.20 259.50 16 3 1 0.03
Quarterly 6/1/19 282.38 300.00 274.00 280.15 16 3 -- 0.06
Quarterly 9/1/19 264.50 272.20 252.00 264.75 16 3 1 0.19
Quarterly 12/1/19 297.29 315.00 278.00 298.00 16 2 2 0.02

Actuals - Net Income

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 1,004.34 -- --
Annual 12/1/17 819.70 -- --
Annual 12/1/16 630.00 -- --
Quarterly 12/1/18 248.60 -- --
Quarterly 9/1/18 228.10 -- --
Quarterly 6/1/18 264.40 -- --
Quarterly 3/1/18 262.53 -- --

Reference Information - Operating Profit

Last Actual (FY0): --
FY0 End Date:
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Operating Profit

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/19 1,247.00 1,247.00 1,247.00 1,247.00 1 -- -- --

Actuals - Operating Profit

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --

Reference Information - Return On Equity

Last Actual (FY0): 28.30
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Return On Equity

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 27.41 28.49 26.35 27.40 3 -- 1 -1.11
Annual 12/1/20 26.25 30.00 19.49 28.05 7 1 1 -0.88
Annual 12/1/19 28.79 32.50 22.25 29.80 8 3 1 1.27
Quarterly 3/1/19 31.61 31.61 31.61 31.61 1 -- 1 -0.60
Quarterly 6/1/19 31.97 31.97 31.97 31.97 1 1 -- -0.50
Quarterly 9/1/19 28.82 28.82 28.82 28.82 1 1 -- -0.90
Quarterly 12/1/19 32.56 32.56 32.56 32.56 1 -- 1 -1.01

Actuals - Return On Equity

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 28.30 -- --
Annual 12/1/17 29.20 -- --
Annual 12/1/16 24.60 -- --
Quarterly 12/1/18 30.59 -- --

Reference Information - Sales

Last Actual (FY0): 3,813.30
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Sales

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 5,045.29 5,704.33 4,597.00 5,030.16 14 3 1 1.03
Annual 12/1/20 4,570.97 5,011.37 4,352.00 4,572.36 25 5 1 0.69
Annual 12/1/19 4,148.37 4,254.83 4,079.40 4,146.00 23 4 2 0.04
Quarterly 3/1/19 990.05 1,006.00 972.75 990.20 20 2 1 0.00
Quarterly 6/1/19 1,042.72 1,065.65 1,027.25 1,042.92 20 3 -- 0.06
Quarterly 9/1/19 1,014.25 1,047.94 994.20 1,012.15 20 3 -- 0.10
Quarterly 12/1/19 1,098.10 1,145.16 1,056.00 1,100.72 20 1 2 0.01

Actuals - Sales

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 3,813.30 3,805.98 0.19
Annual 12/1/17 3,435.30 3,392.48 1.26
Annual 12/1/16 2,963.70 2,957.79 0.20
Quarterly 12/1/18 982.70 976.00 0.69
Quarterly 9/1/18 921.00 928.18 -0.77
Quarterly 6/1/18 972.10 969.02 0.32
Quarterly 3/1/18 937.50 932.90 0.49

P/E Ratios

P/E Ratios Company Industry Ind. Relative
FY0 36.29 58.23 0.62
FY1 32.33 -3.64 -8.88
FY2 28.42 19.65 1.45

EPS Growth Rates

Growth Rates Company Industry Ind. Relative
FY1/FY0 10.80 -99.89 1,007.27
FY2/FY1 12.25 39.08 0.81
FY3/FY2 12.25 39.08 0.81

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