Mean estimates

Stock Information

Price (Prev Close): 198.15
Price - 52 Week High: 247.59
Price - 52 Week Low: 154.58
Price Date (Latest): 3/27/20
Median Price Target: 256.55
Diff from Prev Close: 58.40
% Difference: 29.47

Analyst Ratings

Mean Recommendation:

2.17

Sell

Strong Buy

Available Measures

Reference Information - Earnings Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 5.57
FY0 End Date: 12/1/19
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: 5.76
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Earnings Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/22 7.72 8.10 7.05 7.78 10 -- 1 0.01
Annual 12/1/21 6.95 7.35 6.29 6.95 21 1 2 -0.70
Annual 12/1/20 6.18 6.39 5.12 6.27 23 -- 2 -1.12
Quarterly 3/1/20 1.53 1.58 1.21 1.55 20 -- 1 -0.98
Quarterly 6/1/20 1.52 1.66 0.56 1.58 19 -- 1 -3.27
Quarterly 9/1/20 1.53 1.62 1.47 1.53 19 1 -- 0.17
Quarterly 12/1/20 1.64 1.77 1.53 1.64 19 1 -- 0.53
Long Term Growth 11.77 13.62 8.20 12.63 4 -- -- 0.00

Actuals - Earnings Per Share

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/19 5.57 5.60 -0.55
Annual 12/1/18 4.70 4.70 0.11
Annual 12/1/17 3.80 3.77 0.91
Quarterly 12/1/19 1.46 1.49 -1.72
Quarterly 9/1/19 1.41 1.22 15.66
Quarterly 6/1/19 1.38 1.33 3.83
Quarterly 3/1/19 1.32 1.22 7.82

Reference Information - Book Value Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 19.90
FY0 End Date: 12/1/19
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Book Value Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/22 37.69 50.05 25.33 37.69 2 -- 1 -26.13
Annual 12/1/21 28.11 40.93 19.51 24.66 5 -- 2 -3.37
Annual 12/1/20 23.16 32.88 15.51 21.23 5 -- 2 -3.00

Actuals - Book Value Per Share

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/19 19.90 19.09 4.23
Annual 12/1/18 15.02 16.19 -7.21
Annual 12/1/17 14.15 13.05 8.43

Reference Information - Cash Flow Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 5.56
FY0 End Date: 12/1/19
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Cash Flow Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/22 8.57 8.57 8.57 8.57 1 -- 1 -0.83
Annual 12/1/21 7.29 7.80 6.50 7.42 4 -- 1 -0.89
Annual 12/1/20 6.74 6.98 6.03 6.94 5 -- 1 -1.79
Quarterly 3/1/20 1.44 1.44 1.44 1.44 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 6/1/20 1.83 1.83 1.83 1.83 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 9/1/20 1.72 1.72 1.72 1.72 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 12/1/20 1.98 1.98 1.98 1.98 1 -- -- --

Actuals - Cash Flow Per Share

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/19 5.56 5.68 -2.20
Annual 12/1/18 4.34 4.55 -4.52
Annual 12/1/17 4.63 3.79 22.16
Quarterly 12/1/19 1.88 1.73 8.42
Quarterly 9/1/19 2.06 1.45 42.23
Quarterly 6/1/19 1.61 1.55 3.65
Quarterly 3/1/19 0.01 1.12 -99.10

Reference Information - Dividend Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): --
FY0 End Date: 12/1/19
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Dividend Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/22 -- -- -- -- 4 -- -- 0.00
Annual 12/1/21 -- -- -- -- 6 -- -- 0.00
Annual 12/1/20 -- -- -- -- 6 -- -- 0.00
Quarterly 3/1/20 -- -- -- -- 1 -- -- 0.00
Quarterly 6/1/20 -- -- -- -- 1 -- -- 0.00
Quarterly 9/1/20 -- -- -- -- 1 -- -- 0.00
Quarterly 12/1/20 -- -- -- -- 1 -- -- 0.00

Actuals - Dividend Per Share

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/19 -- -- --
Annual 12/1/18 -- -- --
Annual 12/1/17 -- -- --
Quarterly 12/1/19 -- -- --
Quarterly 9/1/19 -- -- --
Quarterly 6/1/19 -- -- --
Quarterly 3/1/19 -- -- --

Reference Information - EBIT

Last Actual (FY0): 1,316.40
FY0 End Date: 12/1/19
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - EBIT

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/22 1,852.69 1,926.61 1,694.00 1,874.90 10 -- 1 -0.08
Annual 12/1/21 1,681.50 1,766.70 1,557.39 1,683.59 17 -- 2 -0.62
Annual 12/1/20 1,465.99 1,530.62 957.44 1,506.30 20 -- 2 -2.38
Quarterly 3/1/20 369.65 379.99 355.50 370.95 12 -- -- --
Quarterly 6/1/20 379.52 397.00 370.60 378.60 12 -- -- --
Quarterly 9/1/20 363.92 374.30 333.30 366.50 12 -- -- --
Quarterly 12/1/20 390.59 403.80 372.30 391.55 12 -- -- --

Actuals - EBIT

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/19 1,316.40 1,312.98 0.26
Annual 12/1/18 1,153.70 1,151.72 0.17
Annual 12/1/17 1,021.80 1,021.05 0.07
Quarterly 12/1/19 348.40 358.76 -2.89
Quarterly 9/1/19 328.10 298.29 9.99
Quarterly 6/1/19 329.90 322.66 2.24
Quarterly 3/1/19 310.00 300.94 3.01

Reference Information - EBITDA

Last Actual (FY0): 1,401.10
FY0 End Date: 12/1/19
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - EBITDA

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/22 1,961.03 2,057.41 1,761.42 2,020.68 6 -- 1 0.84
Annual 12/1/21 1,778.00 1,892.10 1,656.30 1,782.49 11 -- 2 -0.93
Annual 12/1/20 1,553.67 1,663.15 1,106.84 1,601.50 14 -- 2 -3.18
Quarterly 3/1/20 398.66 410.00 379.00 401.30 8 -- -- --
Quarterly 6/1/20 409.91 424.00 394.00 408.40 8 -- -- --
Quarterly 9/1/20 388.79 408.00 357.00 392.80 8 -- -- --
Quarterly 12/1/20 418.23 437.21 398.40 417.00 8 -- -- --

Actuals - EBITDA

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/19 1,401.10 1,413.46 -0.87
Annual 12/1/18 1,231.10 1,233.52 -0.20
Annual 12/1/17 1,103.00 1,099.37 0.33
Quarterly 12/1/19 370.70 383.47 -3.33
Quarterly 9/1/19 349.90 321.39 8.87
Quarterly 6/1/19 350.40 342.77 2.23
Quarterly 3/1/19 330.10 323.61 2.00

Reference Information - GAAP Earnings Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 4.93
FY0 End Date: 12/1/19
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - GAAP Earnings Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/22 7.94 8.10 7.79 7.94 2 -- 1 -0.58
Annual 12/1/21 6.62 6.92 5.82 6.82 5 -- -- --
Annual 12/1/20 5.81 6.24 5.40 5.78 6 -- -- --
Quarterly 3/1/20 1.46 1.55 1.31 1.49 4 -- -- --
Quarterly 6/1/20 1.52 1.59 1.40 1.55 4 -- -- --
Quarterly 9/1/20 1.43 1.52 1.36 1.43 4 -- -- --
Quarterly 12/1/20 1.56 1.64 1.50 1.55 4 -- -- --

Actuals - GAAP Earnings Per Share

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/19 4.93 5.00 -1.48
Annual 12/1/18 3.38 4.53 -25.39
Annual 12/1/17 2.88 3.62 -20.52
Quarterly 12/1/19 1.32 1.40 -5.98
Quarterly 9/1/19 1.30 1.24 5.18
Quarterly 6/1/19 1.14 1.34 -14.69
Quarterly 3/1/19 1.18 1.23 -4.18

Reference Information - Net Debt

Last Actual (FY0): -922.50
FY0 End Date: 12/1/19
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Net Debt

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/22 -3,232.15 -993.50 -5,232.00 -3,684.11 5 -- 1 5.72
Annual 12/1/21 -2,104.50 -365.07 -3,553.29 -2,439.57 7 2 -- -2.41
Annual 12/1/20 -1,308.46 -368.15 -2,344.97 -1,257.46 8 2 -- -0.36
Quarterly 3/1/20 -819.00 -819.00 -819.00 -819.00 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 6/1/20 -1,169.00 -1,169.00 -1,169.00 -1,169.00 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 9/1/20 -1,590.00 -1,590.00 -1,590.00 -1,590.00 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 12/1/20 -1,938.00 -1,938.00 -1,938.00 -1,938.00 1 -- -- --

Actuals - Net Debt

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/19 -922.50 -746.87 -23.51
Annual 12/1/18 -362.70 -273.25 -32.74
Annual 12/1/17 -301.10 -330.41 8.87
Quarterly 12/1/19 -922.50 -800.39 -15.26
Quarterly 9/1/19 -762.70 -372.83 -104.57
Quarterly 6/1/19 -340.20 -310.62 -9.52
Quarterly 3/1/19 -369.10 -233.65 -57.97

Reference Information - Net Income

Last Actual (FY0): 1,182.90
FY0 End Date: 12/1/19
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Net Income

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/22 1,617.90 1,729.15 1,493.00 1,631.90 9 -- 1 -0.33
Annual 12/1/21 1,460.04 1,572.30 1,245.00 1,471.65 18 -- 2 -0.65
Annual 12/1/20 1,286.54 1,357.70 816.51 1,327.80 21 -- 2 -2.30
Quarterly 3/1/20 322.95 334.00 280.00 327.00 13 -- -- --
Quarterly 6/1/20 331.40 353.10 298.00 329.90 13 -- -- --
Quarterly 9/1/20 319.33 344.30 288.30 324.00 13 -- -- --
Quarterly 12/1/20 343.77 359.80 320.00 344.70 13 -- -- --

Actuals - Net Income

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/19 1,182.90 1,184.03 -0.10
Annual 12/1/18 1,004.34 1,004.03 0.03
Annual 12/1/17 819.70 812.13 0.93
Quarterly 12/1/19 309.60 312.99 -1.08
Quarterly 9/1/19 299.20 258.78 15.62
Quarterly 6/1/19 293.60 281.43 4.33
Quarterly 3/1/19 280.50 260.91 7.51

Reference Information - Operating Profit

Last Actual (FY0): --
FY0 End Date:
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Operating Profit

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/22 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Annual 12/1/21 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Annual 12/1/20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 12/1/20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 9/1/20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 6/1/20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 3/1/20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --

Actuals - Operating Profit

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --

Reference Information - Return On Equity

Last Actual (FY0): 32.46
FY0 End Date: 12/1/19
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Return On Equity

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/22 25.55 32.46 17.80 26.40 3 -- -- 16.03
Annual 12/1/21 26.20 30.95 19.17 26.60 5 -- -- 0.64
Annual 12/1/20 26.14 31.08 19.32 27.15 8 -- -- -5.49

Actuals - Return On Equity

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/19 32.46 31.16 1.30
Annual 12/1/18 28.30 30.05 -1.75
Annual 12/1/17 29.20 26.97 2.24

Reference Information - Sales

Last Actual (FY0): 4,348.00
FY0 End Date: 12/1/19
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Sales

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/22 5,760.71 6,109.95 5,114.00 5,734.67 9 -- 1 -0.15
Annual 12/1/21 5,304.81 5,458.94 4,982.00 5,317.70 21 1 2 -0.25
Annual 12/1/20 4,802.55 4,953.58 3,934.41 4,849.60 23 -- 3 -1.27
Quarterly 3/1/20 1,170.09 1,200.00 1,072.39 1,179.11 18 -- 1 -0.48
Quarterly 6/1/20 1,202.07 1,247.00 887.14 1,222.22 17 -- 1 -1.52
Quarterly 9/1/20 1,194.42 1,224.33 1,137.50 1,199.20 17 1 -- 0.19
Quarterly 12/1/20 1,269.35 1,325.02 1,210.00 1,266.10 17 1 -- 0.24

Actuals - Sales

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/19 4,348.00 4,316.13 0.74
Annual 12/1/18 3,813.30 3,805.98 0.19
Annual 12/1/17 3,435.30 3,392.48 1.26
Quarterly 12/1/19 1,714.10 1,143.23 49.94
Quarterly 9/1/19 1,094.00 1,038.01 5.39
Quarterly 6/1/19 1,086.90 1,044.65 4.04
Quarterly 3/1/19 993.00 990.38 0.26

P/E Ratios

Fiscal Year FY0 FY1 FY2
Ratios 35.58 32.05 28.53

EPS Growth Rates

Fiscal YOY FY1/FY0 FY2/FY1 FY3/FY2
Growth Rate 10.37 12.35 11.12

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